ApeX Prediction Brings the World Cup On-Chain

ApeX is rolling out Prediction Spot, a new product that lets you trade the probability of real-world events directly on the platform. No more just watching a match and guessing the score. Now you can take a position on the outcome, price it against the market, and get paid when you are right.

The World Cup is the perfect place to start. It is global, it is emotional, and it runs for six straight weeks of constant action. This campaign packages that energy into a single arena where every match becomes a tradable event and every correct call moves you up the board.

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The Tournament Runs 104 Matches Across Six Weeks

This is the first World Cup with 48 teams. The field splits into 12 groups of four. Every team plays three group matches. The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-place finishers, move into a 32-team knockout bracket. From there, it is single elimination all the way to the trophy.

That structure gives you a long, rich runway to predict and trade. Here is the shape of the tournament.

The campaign runs alongside the tournament, from June 16 to July 31, 2026. Throughout that window you can complete tasks, trade, and predict match outcomes. Each match opens and settles in line with the underlying ApeX Prediction market.

Prediction Points Are the Heart of the Game

Everything in this campaign runs on Prediction Points. You earn them, you stake them on match outcomes, and you climb the leaderboard with them. Hold points before each match, choose a result, and commit your stake. Win, and your points grow. Lose, and they are gone.

To take part, you need to register for the activity first. The campaign is open to all users (market makers excluded), and only data generated after you register counts toward your totals.

How to Earn Prediction Points

Points come from a mix of one-time milestones, daily trading, and referrals. Each task carries its own cap.

A valid referral means a user who registers during the campaign and completes at least one prediction trade of 50 USDT or more in volume. Referral points and registration points are not credited in real time. They clear after a risk-control review window before they unlock.

Placing a Prediction Mirrors the Real Market

Before each match opens, you pick one of three outcomes: home win, away win, or draw. You commit Prediction Points to that pick. Each match allows one entry per user, and once you submit, you cannot change it.

Here is the part that makes it feel like a real market. Your points cost is tied to the live probability of each outcome, not a flat fee. Every winning outcome settles at the equivalent of $1.00, and the price reflects what the market thinks will happen.

Take a simple group-stage example. Say a strong favorite to win sits at $0.80. The market is pricing them at an 80 percent chance. Their underdog opponent sits at $0.15, a 15 percent chance. A draw sits at $0.05.

Your points cost follows those prices. One vote on the favorite costs 80 points. One vote on the underdog costs 15 points. One vote on the draw costs 5 points. The lesson is built into the math: cheap outcomes pay big when they land, favorites cost more and pay less. You are not just betting on a team. You are trading probability.

The Platform Seeds Every Pool

To keep early markets from sitting empty, the platform seeds every match. The moment predictions open, the system injects 1,000 virtual points into each of the three pools (home, away, and draw). That is 3,000 seed points per match, so there is always a prize on the table even before the first user arrives.

Here is the part that favors you. The platform subsidizes the points for every game, but it takes no share of the winnings. When a match settles, the platform keeps nothing. The entire prize pool, including the seed the platform put in on the losing side, is paid out in full to the users who called it right.

Winners Split the Losing Pools

Once a match ends, settlement is clean. Correct predictors get their staked points back, then split the losing pools in proportion to the votes they hold. Wrong predictors forfeit the points they staked.

Picture 100 users on a single match. Ninety back the favorite at 80 points each, ten back the underdog at 15 points each, and nobody backs the draw. If the favorite wins, the losing side (the underdog pool and the draw pool, seed points included) becomes the prize pool that the winners divide. A correct call on the favorite returns your 80-point stake plus a slice of the losers, for a net gain on the match.

Now flip it. If the underdog pulls off the upset, the favorite pool and the draw pool become the prize. The ten users who backed the underdog at 15 points each split a far larger pool against far fewer votes. A small stake on a long shot can return many times the principal. That is the upside of trading probability instead of chasing favorites.

Survival Begins at the Semifinals

The group stage is open season. All 72 group matches run with no elimination. Everyone plays, everyone banks points, and the leaderboard takes shape.

The cut starts later. From the semifinals onward, the field thins by ranking.

After the semifinal round, the bottom slice drops and the top 90 percent advance. After the third-place match, only the top 80 percent remain. After the final, survival narrows to the top 50 percent who also called the final correctly. Those survivors split a pool of 1,000,000 points, shared evenly.

Eliminations are not real time. During each stage, everyone plays normally. The system takes a leaderboard snapshot after the final match of that stage settles, then applies the ranking rule in one pass. Ties are protected. If users sit level on points and matches won right at the cutoff line, the whole tied group is spared and moves on together.

Getting cut does not lock you out. Eliminated players can keep doing tasks, keep predicting, and keep redeeming rewards. They simply cannot share the 1,000,000 point pool.

Win Streaks Multiply Your Gains

Stringing together correct calls pays a bonus. The multiplier applies to the net gain on the match that completes the streak (the 3rd, 6th, 10th, or 20th win in a row), not to a later match and not to your principal. One wrong call resets your streak to zero. Streaks do not require you to predict every single match, but you cannot have a wrong prediction in between.

Streak bonuses are paid out by the platform on top of your winnings. A 10 or 20 match streak is rare, which is exactly why it pays so well.

The Leaderboard Tracks Every Contender

The leaderboard updates on a timer and shows exactly where you stand. Each row carries your rank, a masked wallet address or UID, your total correct predictions, your current streak, your total points, your projected share of the pool, and a button to view your full record. Active streaks are flagged with a visual marker so the hot hands stand out. Ranking runs on total points.

Points Convert Into Real Rewards

Points are not just for the leaderboard. You can spend them in the rewards store. Different rewards sit at different thresholds, stock is limited, and redemption is first come, first served.

Featured grand prizes sit at the top of the board for the highest scorers, including signed and framed World Cup memorabilia and a PS5 plus FC26 bundle. Headline items are extremely limited, so the leaderboard race is also a race for the trophy cabinet.

The store leads with USDT trading bonuses that anyone can claim while supplies last.

A few rules govern the store. Points are only redeemable inside the redemption window, and they expire after it closes. A successful redemption deducts the points from your account immediately. Redeemed rewards cannot be returned for points or swapped.

Terms and Conditions

1. This campaign is hosted by ApeX Omni. All match results are taken from Polymarket or the official website for the corresponding event.

2. The campaign is open to all users (market makers excluded) and requires registration. Some tasks carry participation limits and point caps. Only data generated after a user registers is counted.

3. There is no cap on the number of predictors per match. Each match maintains its own separate points pool. Read the match rules carefully before joining each prediction.

4. From the semifinals, the campaign progressively eliminates lower-ranked users by points. After the final, users who predicted the final incorrectly and the bottom 50 percent by points are eliminated, and the remaining winners share the 1,000,000 point pool. Eliminated players can still complete tasks to earn points, take part in predictions, and redeem rewards, but cannot share the 1,000,000 point pool.

5. Predicting correctly in a row triggers streak multiplier rewards.

   Streak	Multiplier	Per-match bonus cap
   3 in a row	net gain x1.2	1,000
   6 in a row	net gain x1.5	3,000
   10 in a row	net gain x2	10,000
   20 in a row	net gain x3	30,000

   The streak multiplier applies only to the net gain on the prediction after the streak threshold is reached, never to the principal. A failed prediction resets the streak to zero. Streak rewards are paid out separately by the platform. Streaks do not require predicting every match in sequence, but no prediction during the streak can be wrong.

6. Rewards are reviewed and distributed within 7 business days of redemption (physical rewards are converted into an equivalent USDT payout). The points store closes for redemption on July 31, 2026 (10:00 UTC), after which points can no longer be redeemed for any reward.

7. ApeX Omni reserves the right to disqualify users suspected of malicious behavior, including but not limited to wash trading, bot manipulation, bulk account registration, control of duplicate accounts, or any form of cheating.

8. ApeX reserves the right to modify or cancel this campaign and its terms at any time without prior notice, especially under unforeseen circumstances.

Disclaimer

Cryptocurrency investments are subject to high market risk and volatility. Please conduct your own research and invest cautiously.

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